Health Policy

Prioritize Sickest Patients First in Overcrowded ERs

April 21, 2026
10 min read
Dr. Mohit Joshi
Source:KFF Health News

Executive Brief

  • The News: 14 million fewer Americans will have health insurance in a decade
  • Clinical Win: Limiting program cuts helps hospitals care for uninsured patients
  • Target Specialty: Primary care physicians in rural, low-income communities

Key Data at a Glance

Uninsured Rate Location: Starr County

Population Below Poverty Line: A third

Expected Uninsured Americans in a Decade: 14 million fewer

Cause of Expected Uninsured Increase: Trump tax-and-spending law and expiration of enhanced subsidies

Impact on Health Care System: Potential collapse

High Uninsured Proportion Comparison: Communities across the U.S.

Prioritize Sickest Patients First in Overcrowded ERs

RIO GRANDE CITY, Texas — Jake Margo Jr. stood in the triage room at Starr County Memorial Hospital explaining why a person with persistent fever who could be treated with over-the-counter medication didn’t need to be admitted to the emergency room.

“We’re going to take care of the sickest patients first,” Margo, a family medicine physician, said.

It’s not like there was space on that June afternoon anyway. A small monitor on the wall pulsed with the vitals of current patients, who filled the ER. An ambulance idled outside in the South Texas heat with a patient waiting for a bed to open up.

“Everybody shows up here,” Margo said. “When you’re overwhelmed and you’re overrun, there’s only so much you can do.”

Starr County, a largely rural, Hispanic community on the southern U.S. border, made headlines in 2024 when it voted Republican in a presidential election for the first time in more than a century. Immigration and the economy drove the flip in this community, where roughly a third of the population falls below the poverty line.

Now, recent actions by the Trump administration and the GOP-controlled Congress have triggered a new concern: the inability of doctors, hospitals, and other health providers to continue to care for uninsured patients. It’s a fear not only in Starr County, which has one of the highest uninsured rates in the nation. Communities across the U.S. with similarly high proportions of uninsured people could struggle as additional residents lose health coverage.

About 14 million fewer Americans are expected to have health insurance in a decade due to President Donald Trump’s new tax-and-spending law, which Republicans dubbed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, and the pending expiration of enhanced subsidies that slashed the price of Affordable Care Act plans for millions of people. The new law also limits programs that send billions of dollars to help those who care for uninsured people stay afloat.

“You can’t disinsure this many people and not have, in many communities, just a collapse of the health care system,” said Sara Rosenbaum, founding chair of the Department of Health Policy and Management at George Washington University’s Milken Institute School of Public Health.

“The future is South Texas,” she said.

KFF Health News is examining the impact of national health care policy changes on uninsured people and their communities. Though the Trump administration told KFF Health News it is making “a historic investment in rural health care,” people who treat low-income patients, as well as researchers and consumer advocates, say recent policy decisions will make it harder for people to stay healthy. Doctors, hospitals, and clinics that make up the health care safety net could lose so much money they must close their doors, some of them warn.

“Because the patient’s bill is not going to get paid,” said Joseph Alpert, editor-in-chief of The American Journal of Medicine and a professor of medicine at the University of Arizona. “Uninsured patients stress the health care system.”

Starr County shows how this dynamic unfolds.

Primary care doctors in the county serve an average of just under 3,900 people each, nearly three times the U.S. average.

Margo, the family physician, said because so many people lack insurance and there are so few places to seek care, many residents treat the ER as their first stop when they’re sick.

In many cases, they have neglected their health, making them sicker and more expensive to treat. And federal law requires ERs at hospitals in the Medicare program to stabilize or transfer patients, regardless of their ability to pay.

That leaves Margo and his team to practice what he described as “disaster medicine.”

“They come in with chest pain or they stop breathing. They collapse. They’ve never seen a doctor,” Margo said. “They’re literally dying.”

Health Systems in ‘Survival Mode’

When people are uninsured or on Medicaid, they tend to rely on a safety net of doctors, hospitals, clinics, and community health centers, which offer services free of charge or absorb getting reimbursed at lower rates than they do treating patients on commercial insurance.

Those providers’ financial situations can often be precarious, leading them to rely on myriad federal supports. The Trump administration’s cuts to health care and Medicaid in the name of eliminating “waste, fraud, and abuse” have many concerned they won’t weather the additional financial strain.

Clinical Perspective — Dr. Mohit Joshi, Psychiatry

Workflow: I'm seeing a potential surge in uninsured patients, which will change my daily routine as I'll need to prioritize the sickest patients first, as Dr. Jake Margo Jr. does at Starr County Memorial Hospital. With a high volume of patients, I'll have to make tough decisions about who to admit to the emergency room. As Dr. Margo said, "Everybody shows up here," and it's clear that we'll have to manage our resources carefully.

Economics: The article doesn't address cost directly, but it mentions that the new tax-and-spending law limits programs that send billions of dollars to help those who care for uninsured people stay afloat. This could have a significant impact on the financial stability of hospitals like Starr County Memorial, which already struggles with a high uninsured rate. About 14 million fewer Americans are expected to have health insurance in a decade, which will likely put a strain on local health systems.

Patient Outcomes: The projected surge in uninsured patients is expected to affect communities with high proportions of uninsured people, like Starr County, which has one of the highest uninsured rates in the nation. As Sara Rosenbaum said, "You can’t disinsure this many people and not have, in many communities, just a collapse of the health care system." This collapse could lead to poor patient outcomes, as uninsured patients may delay seeking care or forego necessary treatments due to cost concerns.

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